Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 21.167605 24.390838 27.865085 31.879149 36.379540 41.259867 46.942734
2025-10-12 16.488442 21.160915 26.660239 33.563938 41.948388 51.747927 64.010233
2025-10-19 13.162823 18.418248 25.048932 33.923336 45.370133 59.507497 78.140345
2025-10-26 10.838791 16.334178 23.688301 34.068841 48.132209 66.286067 91.213085
2025-11-02 8.946180 14.429244 22.168689 33.622835 49.822515 71.547202 102.437159
2025-11-09 7.447120 12.801475 20.742694 33.015350 51.058411 76.090524 112.793733
2025-11-16 6.230357 11.383806 19.394317 32.285297 51.927234 80.034322 122.405755
2025-11-23 5.129678 9.962345 17.831409 31.005100 51.781851 82.403860 129.793362
2025-11-30 4.674954 9.549899 17.796288 32.051033 55.162865 90.034818 145.128360
2025-12-07 4.289314 9.195175 17.798830 33.124063 58.616909 97.920582 161.199915
2025-12-14 3.687678 8.343938 16.843462 32.489957 59.252879 101.486134 170.871997
2025-12-21 3.136879 7.498681 15.788843 31.559295 59.286894 104.050878 179.056055
2025-12-28 3.003666 7.510627 16.362084 33.650239 64.719538 115.789739 202.694405
2026-01-04 2.823766 7.404448 16.715050 35.404748 69.759289 127.279526 226.711898
2026-01-11 2.515378 6.960230 16.349619 35.779302 72.392346 134.941110 244.930967
2026-01-18 2.227089 6.506033 15.899684 35.931328 74.608724 141.991389 262.457507
2026-01-25 1.926182 5.959841 15.179916 35.464416 75.622875 146.999458 276.766716
2026-02-01 1.655390 5.431463 14.422187 34.828445 76.242014 151.311340 290.050996
2026-02-08 1.414696 4.928614 13.647626 34.064067 76.529246 155.009407 302.401988
2026-02-15 1.175073 4.370284 12.658962 32.723407 75.553210 156.329204 310.594489
2026-02-22 1.098503 4.275732 12.774310 33.818765 79.536594 166.944374 335.756993
2026-03-01 1.029458 4.189827 12.899067 34.942258 83.643069 177.974451 362.110304
2026-03-08 0.886823 3.832256 12.277541 34.278360 83.969104 181.863674 375.612806